Cyberdefence-technology assessment (with D. Percia David, W. Lacube, S. Gillard, T. Maillart, A. Mermoud, and M. Tsesmelis)

We study security-development patterns in computer-science technologies through (i) the security attention among technologies, (ii) the relation between technological change and security developments, and (iii) the effect of opinion on security development. We perform a scientometric analysis on arXiv e-prints (𝑛 = 340,569) related to 20 computer-science technology categories. Our contribution is threefold. First, we characterize both processes of technological change and security development: while most technologies follow a logistic-growth process, the security development follows an AR(1) process or a random walk with positive drift.